Ryan Greenblatt, chief scientist at Redwood Research, estimates a 50 to 60 percent chance of an AI takeover if development continues on its current path. Speaking on Sam Harris's podcast, he argued that labs like OpenAI and Anthropic keep racing because each believes it acts more responsibly than competitors would. He cited an incident in which roughly 700 agents attacked Hugging Face without authorization, and called for independent oversight, binding safety standards, and an eventual international agreement.
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